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Introduction

In light of the impact COVID-19 has had on NHS activity and performance levels, the Welsh Government has published its programme for transforming and modernising planned care and reducing waiting lists in Wales. This plan sets out a number of key ambitions to reduce waiting times for people in Wales. We have incorporated performance measures against these ambitions into this statistical release and on StatsWales.

Data provided in this statistical report has been provided by Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) unless stated otherwise. Data for each topic area are also available in more detail on our StatsWales website.

Main points

In July, 74,321 calls were made to the 111 helpline service, an increase of over 6,600 calls compared to the previous month. Of these, over 69,300 calls were answered (93%). This was the second highest proportion answered since May 2022. There were also over 398,000 hits on the NHS 111 Wales website and over 10,800 completed symptom checks (NHS 111 Wales).

In July there were 4,029 red (life threatening) calls to the ambulance service, 11.4% of all calls. An average of 130 immediately life-threatening calls were made each day, 4 less than in June.

52.6% of red calls received an emergency response within eight minutes. This was 2 percentage points lower than in June, but the fourth highest since June 2022. Data for red calls are only comparable from May 2019 onwards.

There was an average of 3,061 daily attendances to emergency departments, a decrease compared to the previous month. Performance decreased slightly against the four hour target and the twelve hour target. The average (median) time spent in emergency departments was similar in July as the previous month at two hours and thirty nine minutes.

The pandemic has caused a large increase in patient pathways waiting to start treatment. In June the number increased from around 748,400 to just under 754,300, the fourth consecutive increase and the second highest figure on record. The number of patient pathways is not the same as the number of individual patients, because some people have multiple open pathways. More information is available in the Welsh Government’s Chief Statistician’s blog.

Management information suggests that in June, when there were just under 754,300 open patient pathways, there were about 589,000 individual patients on treatment waiting lists in Wales. This was an increase of around 5,200 patients from April.

The proportion of patient pathways waiting less than 26 weeks increased to 59.3% in June. This has been relatively stable after falling significantly from the levels pre-pandemic. The number of pathways waiting longer than 36 weeks decreased in June, to just under 229,300, remaining high in historical context.

About 28,300 pathways were waiting more than two years, 59.8% lower than the peak and falling for over a year after a consistent increase throughout 2021. The average (median) time patient pathways had been waiting for treatment at the end of June was the same as the previous month at 19.1 weeks.

The planned care recovery plan established a target to eliminate two year waits in most specialties by March 2023, with ‘most’ referring to all specialties excluding seven recognised as exceptionally challenging even prior to the pandemic. The target was not met in March and in June there were still a further 21 specialties with pathways waiting more than two years accounting for 3,800 pathways.

Headline measures for open pathways across the UK are not comparable. There are large differences between Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland statistics, meaning they should not be compared at all. With England, current understanding suggests a broadly comparable number can be produced for Wales by removing some known non-consultant led pathways which are not counted in England. On that basis, there are around 669,000 open pathways on consultant-led pathways in Wales, equivalent to 22 pathways (not patients) for every 100 people. For England, the figure in June was 13 pathways for every 100 people.

Pathways waiting longer than one year for their first outpatient appointment decreased to around 49,900, a reduction of 51.4% from the peak in August 2022. The planned care recovery target to eliminate these by the end of 2022 was not met.

For diagnostic services, patient pathways waiting increased to around 118,700 in June the highest on record. The number waiting longer than eight weeks (the target maximum wait) decreased to around 48,700. For therapies, patient pathways waiting increased to just over 68,000 in June, the second highest on record. The number waiting longer than fourteen weeks (the target maximum wait) increased to just over 7,900.

For cancer services, more people started their first definitive treatment in June (1,880) than the previous month. The number of pathways closed following the patient being informed they did not have cancer increased from the previous month to 14,575. Performance decreased against the 62 day target in June to 53.4%, compared to 54.1% the previous month, this is the second lowest on record.

Unscheduled care

New data relating to unscheduled care are provided for the month of July 2023.

Calls to 111 service

As of 16 March 2022, the non-emergency 111 helpline service has been rolled out across the whole of Wales.

In July, a total of 74,321 calls were made to the 111 helpline service, an increase of over 6,600 calls compared to the previous month. Of these, over 69,300 (93%) calls were answered by the 111 service, an average of over 2,200 calls per day. This is the second highest percentage of calls answered since May 2022.

An estimated 5,005 (7%) calls were ended by the caller before being answered. Of these, 1,961 were ended within 60 seconds of the automated messages, suggesting their needs were likely to have been met.

Over 3,000 calls were abandoned after 60 seconds and these are regarded as callers who were more likely to have still required the service after the messages but were unable to get through or decided not to wait.

Of the calls answered, 1,127 calls indicated that they wished to conduct the call in Welsh.

There were over 398,000 hits on the NHS 111 Wales website and over 10,800 completed symptom checks (NHS 111 Wales) in July.

More data is published on StatsWales.

Emergency calls to the ambulance service

A wider range of ambulance quality indicators are published on the Emergency Ambulance Services Committee (EASC) website and on StatsWales.

Calls to the ambulance service are categorised as red (immediately life-threatening), amber (serious but not life-threatening) or green (non-urgent).

Activity

Figure 1: Average daily emergency ambulance calls, by call type and month, July 2018 to July 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 1: A line chart showing the number of emergency calls received by the Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust. An Amber call is the most common call and the number of red calls is showing a slight upward trend over the years.

Source: Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust

Emergency ambulance calls and responses to red calls, by local health board and month on StatsWales

[Note 1] An update to call handling in May 2019 resulted in a change to red incident volume. It is not possible to directly compare before and after this date. Further details are available in the quality information.

In July, just over 35,400 emergency calls were made to the ambulance service. This was an average of 1,142 calls per day, the same amount of calls on average per day compared with the previous month, and 127 (10.0%) fewer per day than the same month last year.

An average of 130 red calls were made per day in July, 4 less compared with the previous month and high in historical context.

In July, the proportion of all calls that were immediately life-threatening was 11.4%, down from 11.7% in June and remaining high in historical context.

Performance
Target
  • 65% of red calls (immediately life-threatening, someone is in imminent danger of death, such as a cardiac arrest) to have a response within 8 minutes.
Figure 2: Percentage of red calls which received an emergency response at the scene within 8 minutes, July 2018 to July 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 2: A line chart showing that performance for emergency response calls trended downwards over the long-term. In recent months the performance has increased but remains below the target of 65%.

Source: Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust

Emergency responses: minute-by-minute performance for red calls by local health board and month on StatsWales

[Note 1]: An update to call handling in May 2019 resulted in a change to red incident volume. It is not possible to directly compare before and after this date. Further details are available in the quality information.

Figure 3: Percentage of red calls which received an emergency response at the scene within 8 minutes, by Local Health Board, July 2023
Image

Description of Figure 3: A bar chart showing that performance was below the target level for emergency response calls in all Local Health Boards.

Source: Welsh Ambulance Services NHS Trust

Emergency responses: minute-by-minute performance for red calls by local health board and month on StatsWales

In July, 52.6% of emergency responses to immediately life threatening (red) calls arrived within 8 minutes of patient location and chief complaint being established. This was 2 percentage points lower than the previous month but the fourth best since June 2022. At a Local Health Board level, the highest proportion of red calls responded to within 8 minutes was seen in Cardiff and Vale (56.2%), and the lowest in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (43.7%).

The proportion of red calls responded to within 8 minutes has fallen in recent years from a peak of 80% in 2017, but over the same period there has been a significant increase in the number of red calls received. For example, in the latest twelve months there were around 50,000 red calls, more than twice as many as in 2017 (22,000). The overall increase in demand largely reflects two things; changes in how some calls are handled, as some calls that used to be categorised as amber are now categorised as red; and a large increase in respiratory conditions in the latest winter.

Other than demand, handover delays at hospitals can also affect performance, when ambulance crews are unable to respond to new calls while waiting to handover patients to emergency departments. There has been a significant increase in handover delays in recent years, with more than five times as many hours lost in the latest twelve months compared with 2017. In July around 19,000 hours were lost due to handover delays. Further data on handover delays can be found on the Emergency Ambulance Services Committee’s (EASC) Ambulance Service Indicators dashboard.

The median response time in the four years prior to the pandemic ranged between 4 minutes 30 seconds and 6 minutes for red calls. In July, the average (median) response time to immediately life-threatening ‘red’ calls was 7 minutes 38 seconds. This was 22 seconds slower than previous month, and 6 seconds quicker than July 2022.

The majority of calls to the ambulance service are categorised as ‘amber’ calls, for which there is no performance target for call response times. In July, the median response time for amber calls was 1 hour 11 minute and 11 seconds. This was just over 10 minutes slower than in June but almost 32 minutes quicker than in July 2022.

Emergency department attendances and admissions to hospital

A wider range of emergency department performance statistics are published on the National Collaborative Commissioning Unit (NCCU) website, as management information.

Activity

Figure 4: Average attendances in emergency departments, and admissions to hospital resulting from attendances at major emergency departments per day, July 2018 to July 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 4: A line chart showing attendances to emergency department, which are generally higher in the summer months than the winter, but otherwise remain relatively stable. There was a decrease in attendances during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales

Number of attendances in NHS Wales emergency departments by age band, sex and site on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Chart shows number of attendances at both major emergency departments and minor injuries units, and the number of admissions resulting from attending major emergency departments only.

In July there were just over 94,900 attendances to all emergency departments, an average of 3,061 attendances per day; this was 217 attendances less per day on average than in the previous month.

In July, just over 15,400 patients were admitted to the same or a different hospital following attendance at major emergency departments. This was 2.7% higher than the previous month, and 13.5% higher than the same month in 2022.

Performance

Targets
  • 95% of new patients should spend less than 4 hours in emergency departments from arrival until admission, transfer or discharge.
  • No patient waiting more than 12 hours in emergency departments from arrival until admission, transfer or discharge.
Figure 5: Percentage of patients admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours at emergency departments, July 2018 to July 2023
Image

Description of Figure 5: A line chart showing the percentage of patients admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours at emergency departments fell during the coronavirus pandemic but has gradually increased recently.

Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales

Performance against 4 hour target by hospital on StatsWales

Figure 6: Percentage of patients admitted, transferred or discharged within 4 hours at emergency departments, by Local Health Board, July 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 6: Bar chart showing performance was below the 4 hour performance target for emergency departments in all Local Health Boards.

Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales

Performance against 4 hour target by hospital on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in previous StatsWales link.

In July, 70.7% of patients in all NHS emergency departments spent less than 4 hours in the department from arrival until admission, transfer or discharge. This was 1.8 percentage points lower than the previous month, and remains relatively low in historical context. Swansea Bay health board saw the highest proportion spending less than 4 hours in emergency departments (76.0%), and Cwm Taf Morgannwg saw the lowest (63.2%).

In 2019, the median time patients spent in emergency departments was around 2 hours and 30 minutes. During the early part of the pandemic, as attendances decreased the median time spent in the department decreased, to a low of 1 hours 47 minutes in April 2020. Since then, median times increased and reached a record high of 3 hours and 8 minutes in March 2022. In the latest data for July, the median waiting time was 2 hours and 39 minutes, just over 2 minutes slower than the previous month, and broadly back to pre-pandemic levels.

The median time spent in emergency department varies by age. Prior to the pandemic, children (aged 0 to 4) spent between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 2 hours in emergency departments, while older patients (aged 85 or greater) spent between 3 hours and 30 minutes and 5 hours.

In July, children (aged 0 to 4) spent an average of 2 hours and 4 minutes in emergency departments. Adults aged 85 and over spent an average of 5 hours and 24 minutes in emergency departments.

Figure 7: Patients waiting more than 12 hours to be admitted, transferred or discharged at NHS emergency departments, July 2018 to July 2023
Image

Description of Figure 7: A line chart showing the number of patients waiting longer than 12 hours to be admitted, transferred or discharged at emergency departments, which fell sharply during the initial coronavirus period. Recently there has been a fall after a long term upward trend.

Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales

Performance against the 12 hour target by hospital on StatsWales

Figure 8: Patients waiting more than 12 hours to be admitted, transferred or discharged at NHS emergency departments, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, July 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 8: Bar chart showing in all Local Health Boards there were patients who waited longer than 12 hours.

Source: Emergency department data set, Digital Health and Care Wales

Performance against the 12 hour target by hospital on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in previous StatsWales link.

In July 9,189 patients waited 12 hours or more. This was 663 (7.8%) more than in the previous month. Adjusted by population, more patients waited longer than 12 hours in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (415) than in any other Local Health Board. The lowest figure was in Cardiff and Vale (114).

Scheduled care activity

New data relating to unscheduled care are provided for the month of June 2023. Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) now publishes a secondary care dashboard which provides data on outpatients appointments, inpatient admissions and daycase activity undertaken in Wales.

Outpatient referrals and appointments

Activity

Figure 9: Average daily referrals for first outpatient appointment, June 2018 to June 2023
Image

Description of Figure 9: A line chart showing outpatient referrals, which has been fluctuating with an upwards trend. Following a big drop in referrals in February 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic, outpatient referrals have steadily risen back to pre-pandemic levels.

Source: Outpatient Referral Dataset, Digital Health and Care Wales

Referrals by local health board and month on StatsWales

An average of 4,564 referrals for first outpatient appointments were made per day in June 2023, the highest on record. This is an increase of 8.5% (356 more referrals per day on average) compared to May 2023 and an increase of 19.7% compared to June 2022.

Performance

Targets

  • No one waiting for longer than a year for their first outpatient appointment by the end of 2022 (a target established in the planned care recovery plan).
Figure 10: Pathways waiting more than a year for their first appointment, June 2018 to June 2023
Image

Description of Figure 10: A line chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting longer than a year, which rapidly increased during the coronavirus pandemic but has been coming down in recent months.

Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales

COVID-19 recovery plan, ambitions for referral to treatment waiting times on StatsWales

Figure 11: Pathways waiting more than a year for their first appointment per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 11: A bar chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting longer than a year for a first outpatient appointment, adjusted by population size and was highest in Cwm Taf Morgannwg and lowest in Swansea Bay.

Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales

COVID-19 recovery plan, ambitions for referral to treatment waiting times on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in previous StatsWales link.

In June, the number of pathways waiting longer than one year for their first outpatient appointment decreased by 4.7% compared to the previous month to around 49,900, the tenth consecutive monthly fall and the lowest number since November 2020. The planned care recovery plan target was not met, though there has been a fall of 51.4% since the peak in August 2022.

Among the Local Health Boards, the highest number of pathways waiting more than one year per 100,000 of the population was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (2,840) and the lowest in Swansea Bay (335).

Diagnostic and therapy waiting times

Activity

Figure 12: Patient pathways waiting for diagnostic and therapy services, June 2018 to June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 12: A line chart showing a long term upward trend in patients waiting for diagnostic services, including a sharp increase in the start of the coronavirus pandemic, and the number of patient pathways waiting for therapy services which has also seen a long term upward trend.

Source: Diagnostic and therapy services waiting times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Diagnostic and Therapy Services Waiting Times by week on StatsWales

[Note 1]: The low point in April 2020 for therapies is in part due to Betsi Cadwaladr not submitting data for this month, please see the key quality information for more information.

In June there were around 118,700 patient pathways waiting for diagnostics. This was an increase of 0.6% compared with the previous month and the highest figure on record.. There were around 68,000 patient pathways waiting for therapies, an increase of 2.7% compared to the previous month and the second highest figure on record.

Performance

Targets
  • The maximum wait for access to specified diagnostic tests is 8 weeks.
  • The maximum wait for access to specified therapy services is 14 weeks.
  • The planned care recovery plan established a target date of Spring 2024 to reach these targets.
Figure 13: Patient pathways waiting over the target time for diagnostic and therapy services, June 2018 to June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 13: Line chart showing a big increase in patients waiting longer than 8 weeks for diagnostic services at the start of the pandemic, before falling throughout 2020 and fluctuating since. The number of patient pathways waiting longer than 14 weeks for therapy services peaking in June 2020 and March 2022, but has fallen since. Neither diagnostics or therapies are close to pre-pandemic levels.

Source: Diagnostic and therapy services waiting times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Diagnostic and Therapy Services Waiting Times by week on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Betsi Cadwaladr did not submit data for April 2020, so are not included in the Wales figures for this month.

Figure 14: Patient pathways (per 100k of the population) waiting over the target time for diagnostic tests and therapy services by Local Health Board, June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 14: Bar charts showing all Local Health Boards have pathways waiting more than the target time for diagnostics and therapies.

Source: Diagnostic and therapy services waiting times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Diagnostic and Therapy Services Waiting Times by week on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in previous StatsWales link.

At the end of June, around 48,700 patient pathways were waiting longer than the target time for diagnostics. This was a decrease of 4.1% compared to the previous month.

At the end of June there were just over 7,900 patient pathways waiting longer than the target time for therapies. This was an increase of 5.2% compared to the previous month.

The highest number of diagnostic pathways waiting more than the target time per 100,000 population was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (3,248) and the highest number of therapies was in Hywel Dda (623). The lowest number of diagnostic pathways waiting more than the target time per 100,000 population was in Aneurin Bevan (561) and the lowest number of therapies was in Swansea Bay (53).

Median waiting times had been relatively stable for diagnostic tests since 2017 (2.8 weeks on average) and for therapy services since 2018 (3.6 weeks on average). Median waiting times for both services peaked in 2020 (14.3 weeks for diagnostics and 14.9 weeks for therapies).

In June, the median waiting time for diagnostic tests was 5.9 weeks, compared to 6.1 weeks in the previous month. The median waiting time for therapy services was 4.8 weeks, compared to 5.0 weeks in the previous month.

Referral to treatment time

Referral to treatment time statistics show monthly data on waiting times for both open and closed pathways following a referral by a GP or other medical practitioner to hospital for treatment in the NHS. Open pathways are those that remain on the waiting list for treatment, whereas closed pathways are those taken off the waiting list.

Activity is measured by patient pathways, which differs to the number of patients. More information on this difference is available in the Welsh Government’s Chief Statisticians blog.

Also published is newly collected management information for the number of individual patients on treatment waiting lists in Wales.

Performance

Targets
  • No patients waiting longer than two years in most specialities by March 2023, and no patients waiting longer than one year in most specialities by Spring 2025 (new targets established in the planned care recovery plan).
  • 95% of patients waiting less than 26 weeks from referral.
  • No patients waiting more than 36 weeks for treatment from referral.
Figure 15: Patient pathways waiting to start treatment, June 2018 to June 2023
Image

Description of Figure 15: Line chart showing that since the coronavirus pandemic the number waiting has increased significantly. The number of patients waiting longer than one year and two years both saw a rise due to the coronavirus pandemic, but numbers are now falling.

Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Patient pathways waiting to start treatment by month, grouped weeks and stage of pathway on StatsWales

Figure 16a: Patient pathways waiting to start treatment, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, June 2023 (total waiting) [Note 1]
Image
Figure 16b: Patient pathways waiting to start treatment, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 16: Bar charts showing that, adjusted by population, Aneurin Bevan has the least pathways waiting more than one or two years and the fewest pathways waiting in total.

Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Patient pathways waiting to start treatment by month, grouped weeks and stage of pathway on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in previous StatsWales link.

In June there were just under 754,300 patient pathways waiting to start treatment. This was an increase of over 5,800 patients from May, the second highest figure on record and 66.2% higher than May 2020.

Headline measures for open pathways across the UK are not comparable. There are large differences in coverage between Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland statistics, meaning they should not be compared at all. With England, current understanding suggests a broadly comparable number can be produced for Wales by removing some known non-consultant led pathways which are not counted in England. On that basis, there are around 669,000 open pathways on consultant-led pathways in Wales, equivalent to 22 pathways (not patients) for every 100 people. For England, the figure in June was 13 pathways for every 100 people. These comparisons are explored further in this Chief Statistician’s blog.

Of the total 754,300 pathways about 132,600 were waiting more than one year in June. This number was lower than last month. Just under 28,300 were waiting more than two years, 59.8% lower than the peak in March 2022.

Adjusted by population, Cardiff and Vale had highest number of pathways waiting (26,758 per 100,000). The most waiting more than one year was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (5,825) and the most waiting more than two years was in Swansea Bay (1,503). Aneurin Bevan had the lowest numbers waiting overall (22,397) and more than two years (572) while Hywel Dda had the lowest waiting more than one year (3,348).

The planned care recovery plan established a target to eliminate two year waits in most specialties by March 2023. This is assessed on the basis that ‘most’ refers to all specialties excluding seven recognised as exceptionally challenging, with large numbers waiting even prior to the COVID-19 pandemic. These are Dermatology, General Surgery, Ophthalmology, Urology, Gynaecology, Orthopaedics and Ear, Nose and Throat. The target was not met in March, and in June there were still a further 21 specialties with pathways waiting more than two years accounting for 3,800 pathways, a decrease of 755 compared to last month.

The number of patient pathways is not the same as the number of individual patients, because some people have multiple open pathways.

We do not have official statistics on the number of individual patients waiting to start treatment. However, management information suggests that in June, when the National Statistics (above) reported there were just under 754,300 open patient pathways, there were estimated to be about 589,000 individual patients on treatment waiting lists in Wales. This was an increase of around 5,200 patients from May 2023.

Unlike the National Statistics elsewhere in this release, which have been independently assessed against the Code of Practice for statistics, this estimate is based on management information. Whilst the principles of the Code of Practice have been applied, quality assurance is not to the level of the National Statistics. Work is ongoing to further understand the strengths and limitations of this data and this will be communicated as we learn more. For these reasons there is greater uncertainty around this estimate than with the other figures in this release. However, the level of public interest in understanding the number of patients in addition to the number of patient pathways adds sufficient value to warrant making this available.

Figure 17: Percentage of patient pathways waiting less than 26 weeks, June 2018 to June 2023
Image

Description of Figure 17: Line chart showing that during the coronavirus pandemic the percentage of patients waiting less than 26 weeks decreased sharply, and performance has since stabilized between 50-60%.

Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Percentage of patient pathways waiting to start treatment within target time by month and grouped weeks on StatsWales

Figure 18: Percentage of patient pathways waiting less than 26 weeks, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 18: Bar chart showing performance in all Local Health Boards is lower than the target of 95%.

Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Percentage of patient pathways waiting to start treatment within target time by month and grouped weeks on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in previous StatsWales link.

Of the just under 754,300 patient pathways waiting to start treatment, by the end of June, 59.3% had been waiting less than 26 weeks. This was 1.5 percentage points higher than the previous month and 23 percentage points lower than March 2020. The highest proportion waiting less than 26 weeks was in Aneurin Bevan health board (63.0%) and the lowest was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (53.5%).

Figure 19: Patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, by month and weeks waited, June 2018 to June 2023
Image

Description of Figure 19: Line chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, which increased rapidly during the coronavirus pandemic. Throughout 2022 the number increased, though at a slower rate, but it has since fallen.

Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Percentage of patient pathways waiting to start treatment within target time by month and grouped weeks on StatsWales

Figure 20: Patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, per 100,000 population, by Local Health Board, June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 20: Bar chart showing the number of patient pathways waiting more than 36 weeks, adjusted by population size, was highest in Cwm Taf Morgannwg and lowest in Aneurin Bevan.

Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Percentage of patient pathways waiting to start treatment within target time by month and grouped weeks on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this figure because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys is made available in previous StatsWales link.

In June, just under 229,300 patient pathways had been waiting more than 36 weeks. This represented 30.4% of all patient pathways waiting to start treatment. This was 469 (or 0.2%) less than in the previous month, but still high in historical context. The highest number of pathways waiting more than 36 weeks per 100,000 population was in Cwm Taf Morgannwg (9,433), and the lowest was in Aneurin Bevan (6,088).

The median time waiting to start treatment had generally been around 10 weeks pre pandemic between late 2013 and February 2020. This increased during the pandemic and peaked at a record high of 29 weeks in October 2020. In June, the median waiting time was 19.1 weeks, which was the same as the previous month.

Figure 21: Closed patient pathways, June 2018 to June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 21: Line chart showing the number of patient pathways closed, which generally fluctuates. After a big decrease in March 2020 due to the coronavirus pandemic, the number of closed pathways has steadily risen to pre-pandemic levels.

Source: Referral to treatment times, Digital Health and Care Wales

Closed patient pathways by month, local health board and weeks waiting on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Data revised to now include Cwm Taf Morgannwg health board closed pathways. Up to the July 2022 statistical release, the data series was not available for Cwm Tag Morgannwg. More details are available in the quality information.

The number of patient pathways closed in June was 113,599. This was an average of 5,164 patient pathways closed per working day. This was a decrease of 140 patient pathways (or 2.6%) closed per working day from the previous month.

Cancer services

A number of wider measures from the suspected cancer pathway are produced by Digital Health and Care Wales are published alongside this statistical release.

Activity

Figure 22: Closed suspected cancer pathways in the month, by month and outcome, June 2020 to June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 22: Line chart showing the number of patients informed they do not have cancer, which fluctuates but generally showing an upwards trend, and the number of patients starting their first definitive treatment, which has been relatively stable since recording began.

Source: Suspected Cancer Pathway, Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) 

Suspected cancer pathway (closed pathways) on StatsWales

[Note 1]: New suspected cancer pathway data collection was introduced in December 2020.

In June 1,880 pathways where the patient was newly diagnosed with cancer started their first definitive treatment in the month. This was an increase of 9.2% compared to the previous month.

14,575 pathways were closed following the patient being informed they did not have cancer. This is an increase of 7.2% compared to the previous month.

In June, 17,534 patient pathways were opened in the month following a new suspicion of cancer. This was an increase of 1,361 (8.4%) on the previous month and an increase of 22.7% compared to June 2022.

Performance

Target
  • At least 75% of patients should start treatment within 62 days (without suspensions) of first being suspected of cancer. Data published for time periods before December 2020 are not subject to the target.
  • The planned care recovery plan established a new target of 80%, to be reached by 2026.
Figure 23: Percentage of pathways where the patient started their first definitive treatment within the target time, June 2020 to June 2023 [Note 1]
Image

Description of Figure 23: Line chart showing the percentage of patients that started their first definitive treatment within 62 days of first being suspected of cancer and the 75% performance target. Performance fluctuates, but there is a general downwards trend in recent years.

Source: Suspected Cancer Pathway, Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) 

Suspected cancer pathway (closed pathways) on StatsWales

[Note 1]: New suspected cancer pathway data collection was introduced in December 2020, with a performance target of 75%. The planned care recovery plan established a new target of 80%, to be reached by 2026.

Figure 24: Percentage of pathways where the patient started their first definitive treatment within the target time, by Local Health Board, June 2023 [Note 1]
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Description of Figure 24: Bar chart showing performance in all Local Health Boards was below the target level of 75%.

Source: Suspected Cancer Pathway, Digital Health and Care Wales (DHCW) 

Suspected cancer pathway (closed pathways) on StatsWales

[Note 1]: Powys Teaching health board is excluded from this analysis because there are significant differences in the number and type of services provided in Powys compared with other Local Health Boards. Data for Powys are available on StatsWales.

In June, 53.4% (1,003 out of 1,880) of pathways started their first definitive treatment within 62 days of first being suspected of cancer. This was 0.7 percentage points lower than the previous month, 2.7 percentage points lower than June 2022 and the second lowest on record.

The highest proportion of pathways starting within 62 days was in Cardiff and Vale (62.0%) and the lowest was in Swansea Bay (42.8%).

Quality and methodology information

All quality and methodology information in relation to this statistical release can be found in the NHS activity and performance summary: quality report

Well-being of Future Generations Act (WFG)

The Well-being of Future Generations Act 2015 is about improving the social, economic, environmental and cultural wellbeing of Wales. The Act puts in place seven wellbeing goals for Wales. These are for a more equal, prosperous, resilient, healthier and globally responsible Wales, with cohesive communities and a vibrant culture and thriving Welsh language. Under section (10)(1) of the Act, the Welsh Ministers must (a) publish indicators (“national indicators”) that must be applied for the purpose of measuring progress towards the achievement of the wellbeing goals, and (b) lay a copy of the national indicators before Senedd Cymru. Under section 10(8) of the Well-being of Future Generations Act, where the Welsh Ministers revise the national indicators, they must as soon as reasonably practicable (a) publish the indicators as revised and (b) lay a copy of them before the Senedd. These national indicators were laid before the Senedd in 2021. The indicators laid on 14 December 2021 replace the set laid on 16 March 2016.

Information on the indicators, along with narratives for each of the wellbeing goals and associated technical information is available in the Wellbeing of Wales report.

Further information on the Well-being of Future Generations (Wales) Act 2015.

The statistics included in this release could also provide supporting narrative to the national indicators and be used by public services boards in relation to their local wellbeing assessments and local wellbeing plans.

We want your feedback

We welcome any feedback on any aspect of these statistics which can be provided by email to stats.healthinfo@gov.wales.

Next update

21 September 2023

Contact details

Statistician: Ryan Pike
Email: stats.healthinfo@gov.wales

Media: 0300 025 8099

SFR 68/2023

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